Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.001844 0.001970 0.002101 0.002247 0.002405 0.002572 0.002762
2024-12-29 0.001639 0.001813 0.002000 0.002219 0.002467 0.002741 0.003068
2025-01-05 0.001500 0.001702 0.001929 0.002201 0.002522 0.002889 0.003343
2025-01-12 0.001378 0.001597 0.001848 0.002159 0.002535 0.002978 0.003545
2025-01-19 0.001291 0.001524 0.001796 0.002140 0.002568 0.003086 0.003769
2025-01-26 0.001184 0.001418 0.001696 0.002055 0.002511 0.003075 0.003838
2025-02-02 0.001159 0.001409 0.001712 0.002111 0.002629 0.003286 0.004198
2025-02-09 0.001128 0.001390 0.001714 0.002148 0.002722 0.003467 0.004527
2025-02-16 0.001125 0.001405 0.001758 0.002239 0.002889 0.003753 0.005012
2025-02-23 0.001084 0.001370 0.001734 0.002238 0.002933 0.003872 0.005272
2025-03-02 0.001021 0.001302 0.001663 0.002171 0.002880 0.003855 0.005333
2025-03-09 0.000978 0.001258 0.001624 0.002144 0.002881 0.003910 0.005502
2025-03-16 0.000940 0.001224 0.001599 0.002142 0.002925 0.004042 0.005812
2025-03-23 0.000897 0.001181 0.001561 0.002120 0.002939 0.004132 0.006065
2025-03-30 0.000860 0.001144 0.001529 0.002104 0.002961 0.004234 0.006345
2025-04-06 0.000818 0.001098 0.001483 0.002064 0.002944 0.004275 0.006527
2025-04-13 0.000786 0.001065 0.001453 0.002046 0.002960 0.004365 0.006795
2025-04-20 0.000738 0.001007 0.001383 0.001966 0.002874 0.004289 0.006778
2025-04-27 0.000732 0.001008 0.001402 0.002019 0.002998 0.004556 0.007364
2025-05-04 0.000721 0.001003 0.001408 0.002053 0.003094 0.004782 0.007897
2025-05-11 0.000724 0.001018 0.001447 0.002140 0.003278 0.005165 0.008744
2025-05-18 0.000705 0.000999 0.001431 0.002139 0.003319 0.005307 0.009156
2025-05-25 0.000670 0.000955 0.001378 0.002076 0.003250 0.005253 0.009192